O'Farrell could return as leader: expert says

16 Apr, 2014 12:19 PM
Comments
3
 
I thought this was something was something he could shake off.

University of Sydney lecturer in politics Dr Peter Chen was surprised by Mr O’Farrell’s shock resignation, but said this may not be the end for the Premier.

“I do think he can come back from this before the election. It depends on how well his successor does and if there is more to come out from the ICAC,” Dr Chen said.

“But I was very surprised he stood aside.

“I thought this was something was something he could shake off. My reading is he probably forgot about (Mr Girolamo's) gift.”

Dr Chen said while any allegation of impropriety is significant, Mr O’Farrell’s decision should be viewed in a wider context.

“Obviously it is a serious business, but (the wine) was only a minor gift," he said.

“It just reflects the cynical times we live in, in the fact that it is surprising when people resign.

Despite his omission to the inquiry, Mr O’Farrell’s decision to stand aside is a measure of Mr O’Farrell’s integrity, he said.

“It speaks a lot for his character. It is a very pragmatic decision,” Dr Chen said.

“He saw a real risk, in light of the revelations about Arthur Sinodinus, of being tarred with the corruption brush, so he moved to head that off.”

Dr Chen said Mr O’Farrell could return as leader.

“It depends on a number of things, but big the question is what don’t we know? And does Mr O’Farrell know something else that has forced his hand," he said.

Dr Chen said Treasurer Mike Baird was next in line to succeed Mr O’Farell as Premier, but he would be inexperienced in the role, which could increase his reliance on both Coalition partner, the Nationals, and cross-bench members in the Shooters and Fishers Party, who hold the balance of power in the Upper House.

“Under ideal circumstances, Baird would have had more time to be groomed for the role," Dr Chen said.

“So his elevation might change the government’s relationship with the Shooters, who are upset over the winding up of the Game Council, which was previously responsible for regulating firearms in NSW.

“They blamed O’Farrell, but a new Premier could gain a lot more support from the Shooters if they play their cards right, but the new premier will have to give some concessions – such as reinstating the Game Council.

“If Baird is Premier, he will have to lean on (the Nationals) more because he has the training wheels on – so the Nats could have more authority in the next premiership.”

TheLand
Mike Foley

Mike Foley

is a senior journalist for The Land
Date: Newest first | Oldest first

READER COMMENTS

Bruce Watson
16/04/2014 1:40:35 PM, on The Land

Dr Chen's weak academic interpretation is all very well, but it ignores the essential role that honesty and character play in how we view our governors. O'Farrell was caught out lying to us. Most ordinary folk do not tolerate liars. We have no time for spin. As for the Return of the O'Farrell - Chen might watch too many fantasy movies.
wtf
17/04/2014 6:50:52 AM, on The Land

I know some independents who might like to ask some questions for rural Australia.
Tigerdicky
17/04/2014 7:36:52 AM, on The Land

On this fools logic O'beid will become the Prime Minister and Greiner his deputy!

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I don't know that that's all so. People generally do best if far from home...thus Aussie
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My grand-daughter, very confident and presentable, now 22 began work in Nth Shore Sydney as
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whilst much input is noted here I think Mouse was close to the point. . Of the several methods